Astral Codex Ten | Scott Alexander | Substack

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Profile: The Far Out Initiative

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Mantic Monday 5/13/24

Manifold pivot || Lab leak hindcasting || CFTC extra-double-bans prediction markets

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Open Thread 329

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Highlights From The Comments On Hanson And Health Care

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The Emotional Support Animal Racket

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Asterisk/Zvi on California's AI Bill

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Highlights From The Comments On "The Origin Of Woke"

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Astral Codex Ten

Astral Codex Ten

P(A|B) = [P(A)*P(B|A)]/P(B), all the rest is commentary.

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