Archive - Astral Codex Ten

Information Markets, Decision Markets, Attention Markets, Action Markets

Mantic Monday 3/28/22

Mar 28, 2022

The Passage Of Polymarket

Mantic Monday 2/7/22

Feb 7, 2022

Mantic Monday 6/13/22

Jun 13, 2022

Play Money And Reputation Systems

Mantic Monday 2/21/22

Feb 21, 2022

Mantic Monday: Dogs In Wizard Hats

Also: free money, Chaotic Evil markets, Ukraine invasion

Dec 27, 2021

Mantic Monday: Judging April COVID Predictions

Feb 23, 2021

Mantic Monday: Judgment Day

Nov 5, 2024

Mantic Monday: Scoring Rule Controversy

Mar 1, 2021

Mantic Monday 3/11/24

Robots of prediction, predictions of robots

Mar 12, 2024

Mantic Monday 7/26

Kalshi, COVID, Orthodox Jews, and monkeypox

Jul 27, 2021

Mantic Monday 11/15

"Too close to call", reciprocal scoring, Theranos, Ritterhouse, long-termism

Nov 15, 2021

Mantic Monday: Groundhog Day

Plus: Anthropic, Iran, and midterm voting

Mar 3

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