Archive - Astral Codex Ten

Information Markets, Decision Markets, Attention Markets, Action Markets

Mantic Monday 3/28/22

Mar 28, 2022 • Scott Alexander

The Passage Of Polymarket

Mantic Monday 2/7/22

Feb 7, 2022 • Scott Alexander

Play Money And Reputation Systems

Mantic Monday 2/21/22

Feb 21, 2022 • Scott Alexander

Mantic Monday 6/13/22

Jun 13, 2022 • Scott Alexander

Mantic Monday: Mantic Matt Y

Mar 15, 2021 • Scott Alexander

Mantic Monday: Judging April COVID Predictions

Feb 23, 2021 • Scott Alexander

Mantic Monday: Dogs In Wizard Hats

Also: free money, Chaotic Evil markets, Ukraine invasion

Dec 27, 2021 • Scott Alexander

Mantic Monday 8/15/22

RIP PredictIt -- Hedgehog Markets -- Salem/CSPI Fellowship

Aug 16, 2022 • Scott Alexander

Mantic Monday 7/26

Kalshi, COVID, Orthodox Jews, and monkeypox

Jul 27, 2021 • Scott Alexander

Mantic Monday 10/17/22

What do Sam Altman, Matt Bruenig, and the Sacramento Kings have in common? -- Are the polls wrong? -- CFTC vs. Everybody

Oct 18, 2022 • Scott Alexander

Mantic Monday 5/13/24

Manifold pivot || Lab leak hindcasting || CFTC extra-double-bans prediction markets

May 13, 2024 • Scott Alexander

Mantic Monday 2/19/24

AI forecasters come of age / Prediction market reality TV dating show? / OpenAI's Sora

Feb 20, 2024 • Scott Alexander

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